BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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NC State

Class: 1 Class Rank: 49 Overall: (26-15) Overall Strength =   53.79
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (15-11) | District: 1-01 Record: (17-15)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-06-2023 Home    W      46.37  72  59    1 251 (11-21) Citadel                -7.34     20.34                      
 2 11-10-2023 Home    W      55.80  84  64    1 211 (16-18) Abilene Chr             2.09     17.91                      
 3 11-17-2023 Home    W      62.33  87  53    1 318 (10-20) Charleston So           8.63 *   25.37                      
 4 11-23-2023 Neutral W   *  47.03  84  78    1 176 ( 9-23) Vanderbilt             -6.68     12.68                      
 5 11-24-2023 Neutral L   *  51.16  86  95    1  17 (23-11) BYU                    -2.55     -6.45                      
 6 11-28-2023 Away    L   *  32.12  52  72    1  80 (20-12) Mississippi           -21.59      1.59                      
 7 12-02-2023 Away    W * *  59.71  84  78 1  1  71 (20-16) Boston College          6.00     -0.00                      
 8 12-06-2023 Home    W      55.24  93  61    1 350 ( 9-20) MD E Shore              1.53 *   30.47                      
 9 12-12-2023 Home    W      48.49  81  67    1 217 (21-11) TN Martin              -5.22     19.22                      
10 12-16-2023 Neutral L   *  53.70  70  79    1   7 (27- 9) Tennessee              -0.01     -8.99                      
11 12-20-2023 Home    W      49.04  82  70    1 193 (13-20) Saint Louis            -4.67     16.67                      
12 12-23-2023 Home    W      40.46  83  66    1 354 ( 1-31) Detroit               -13.25 *   30.25                      
13 01-03-2024 Away    W * *  50.84  54  52    1 114 (13-20) Notre Dame             -2.87      4.87                      
14 01-06-2024 Home    W * *  64.46  76  60    1  70 (23-11) Virginia               10.76      5.24                      
15 01-10-2024 Home    L * *  46.28  54  67    1   8 (29- 8) North Carolina         -7.43     -5.57                      
16 01-13-2024 Away    W * *  50.16  89  83    1 175 ( 8-24) Louisville             -3.55      9.55                      
17 01-16-2024 Home    W * *  59.76  83  76    1  27 (21-14) Wake Forest             6.05      0.95                      
18 01-20-2024 Home    L * *  43.91  78  84    1  62 (19-15) Virginia Tech          -9.80      3.80                      
19 01-24-2024 Away    L * *  48.33  53  59 1  1  70 (23-11) Virginia               -5.37     -0.63                      
20 01-27-2024 Away    L * *  40.90  65  77    1  86 (20-12) Syracuse              -12.81      0.81                      
21 01-30-2024 Home    W * *  53.51  74  68    1  85 (15-17) Miami FL               -0.20      6.20                      
22 02-03-2024 Home    W * *  48.82  82  76    1 117 (14-18) Georgia Tech           -4.89     10.89                      
23 02-07-2024 Home    L * *  49.84  64  67    1  41 (22-11) Pittsburgh             -3.87      0.87                      
24 02-10-2024 Away    L * *  54.63  79  83    1  27 (21-14) Wake Forest             0.92     -4.92                      
25 02-17-2024 Away    W * *  61.18  78  77    1  21 (24-12) Clemson                 7.48     -6.48                      
26 02-20-2024 Home    L * *  43.02  83  87    1  86 (20-12) Syracuse              -10.68      6.68                      
27 02-24-2024 Home    W * *  58.84  81  70    1  71 (20-16) Boston College          5.13      5.87                      
28 02-27-2024 Away    L * *  46.34  83  90    1  72 (17-16) Florida St             -7.37      0.37                      
29 03-02-2024 Away    L * *  56.15  70  79    1   8 (29- 8) North Carolina          2.44    -11.44                      
30 03-04-2024 Home    L * *  43.62  64  79    1   9 (27- 9) Duke                  -10.09     -4.91                      
31 03-09-2024 Away    L * *  50.71  73  81    1  41 (22-11) Pittsburgh             -3.00     -5.00                      
32 03-12-2024 Neutral W * *  50.22  94  85    1 175 ( 8-24) Louisville             -3.49     12.49                      
33 03-13-2024 Neutral W * *  67.96  83  65    1  86 (20-12) Syracuse               14.25      3.75                      
34 03-14-2024 Neutral W * *  66.56  74  69    1   9 (27- 9) Duke                   12.85     -7.85                      
35 03-15-2024 Neutral W * *  59.40  73  65 1  1  70 (23-11) Virginia                5.69      2.31                      
36 03-16-2024 Neutral W * *  70.22  84  76    1   8 (29- 8) North Carolina         16.51     -8.51                      
37 03-21-2024 Neutral W   *  68.81  80  67    1  32 (23-11) Texas Tech             15.10     -2.10                      
38 03-23-2024 Neutral W      50.64  79  73 1  1 138 (24-12) Oakland                -3.07      9.07                      
39 03-29-2024 Neutral W      69.10  67  58    1  15 (27-10) Marquette              15.39     -6.39                      
40 03-31-2024 Neutral W * *  73.56  76  64    1   9 (27- 9) Duke                   19.85     -7.85                      
41 04-06-2024 Neutral L   *  52.82  50  63    1   3 (34- 5) Purdue                 -0.89    -12.11                      
      Averages              53.71  75.6 71.8

Best game:   73.56 = 12 point win over Duke
Worst game:  32.12 = 20 point loss to Mississippi
Team stdev:   9.21